December 11 2022
Sunday Morning Update
I discovered this morning that my spouse programmed her Alexa to announce whether it is snowing or not each morning! She and I’ve a unique view on snow, and this morning it’s the approach she desires. I didn’t actually anticipate us to have a difficulty, however I do know there was some concern. In brief, we do NOT have snow this morning regionally.
A little bit climate system at the moment has introduced us primarily mild rain showers. The snow is positioned properly north and in case you are touring into PA any influence is perhaps close to and north of I-78 and I-80. This could embrace State College to Allentown and Scranton. But wait, extra winter ‘stuff’ is on the way in which.
Morning Temperatures
If you’re doing mild touring to church or a day journey, we’re safely above freezing from the far western Maryland mountains, even into southern PA.
The winter storm this week is wanting like Thursday night with an icy combine. The newest fashions are in additional settlement with the monitor Friday, adopted by a colder end. See the comparability under.
Our temperatures stay under common, however the actually chilly air is about to make a shift particularly into Christmas Week with the wobbling of the Polar Vortex.
Headlines
- Today: Rain showers via early afternoon. Snow farther north.
- This Week: Icy Mix more than likely Thursday, extra rain Friday, ending with colder air.
- Christmas Week: Polar Vortex sends Arctic Air Our Way
Morning Temperatures
Chilly however NOT Freezing
Morning Surface Weather
This is a small storm system with many of the vitality monitoring throughout central Pennsylvania. Rain showers prolong into central Maryland and southern Pennsylvania. The snow a part of that is north of Harrisburg, the place some minor stickage is feasible throughout the Poconos.
Radar Simulation
NAM 3 KM 8 AM to eight PM
Rain showers via early afternoon. We are likely to see programs transfer out a bit sooner than proven right here.
Snapshot at Noon
Rain showers shall be widespread noon. I’ve added cities to indicate the place the snow is extra probably into north central PA and metro New York.
Live Radar Widget
Use the controls to work together and pan or zoom the view.
Afternoon Temperatures
These are under common and can really feel colder with growing clouds.
CLIMATE DATA
TODAY December 11
Normal Low in Baltimore: 31ºF
Record 9ºF in 1958
SNOW: 9.3 inches in 1960
Normal High in Baltimore: 49ºF
Record 70ºF 2021
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NEW REPORT
La Niña Forecast To End This Winter: Boosting Snow Odds
Monday Temperatures
Morning
Back into colder air behind the climate system.
Afternoon
Mix of clouds and sunshine as we stay chilly.
(*11*)
Winter Event Starting Thursday December 15
Model Comparison
The pattern I’ve seen since yesterday has been extra settlement with each the beginning time and precipitation sort. At this level it seems to be like this:
Thursday Morning
An icy wintry combine will develop near dawn. I don’t wish to pin down the sort with out realizing the depth of the chilly air. But this seems to be like an overrunning occasion with heat air at cloud stage catching as much as chilly air on the floor. The end result could also be this: Morning icy combine
Thursday Evening
The Low tracks farther north bringing in hotter air later within the day pushing many of the space to rain. The GFS is the colder answer now with snow close to the Maryland and Pennsylvania line, whereas the others herald all rain for the Mid Atlantic.
Storm Animations
GFS Model: Thursday Morning to Saturday Afternoon
This has a later begin (after dawn) with freezing rain and slushy snow. By night, a quick interval of snow close to the Maryland/Pennsylvania line as metro areas flip to rain. Then all rain Friday, adopted Saturday snow showers or flurries with colder winds.
Canadian Model: Thursday Morning To Saturday Morning
This mannequin begins Thursday morning with freezing rain by dawn. Then modifications to all rain by the night, with the Low monitoring via central Maryland. As the Low cranks in New England, we get dry, colder air to chop the storm off sooner. However, snow showers off the Great Lakes will prolong into the mountains.
Jet Stream: Thursday Dec 15 to Tuesday December 20
The European Model reveals the colder air with the tip of week storm, adopted by a profound adjustment within the Polar circulation, because of a robust Greenland Block. We can see the overwhelming colder air (blue and inexperienced shades) increasing southward via central Canada into the Eastern US Christmas week.
Faith within the Flakes.
7 Day Forecast
Please observe these temperatures are for Baltimore. It is usually colder inland to the west and north.
While dry, we stay under common early within the week. The storm (nonetheless topic to vary) is wanting like an icy begin then turning to rain Thursday evening, with Friday more than likely rain. Any change in monitor can dramatically shift this.
STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!
I see many components to assist colder affect with a number of programs. Early and later in winter. Check it out.
Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption
Also See The Winter Outlook Series:
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Farmer’s Almanac Comparison
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
Triple Dip La Niña Winter
CONNECTION TO WINTER?
If you need a snowy winter, that is what you may wish to search for in the remainder of the tropical season. (You is perhaps seeing a number of commercial snow removal individuals out this Winter).
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Wooly Bear Caterpillars
Persimmon Seeds
Click to see Top 20 and MORE
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History
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